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Assessments and credibility of the press

Last week, in what it labeled an “exclusive,” CNN reported that initial intelligence assessments of the Iran bombing suggested Iran had been set back a couple of months in its quest for a nuclear weapon. The report’s lead reporter was Natasha Bertrand. In 2020, Bertrand played a lead role in attempting to discredit reports of Hunter Biden’s laptop. One cannot understand the new report without understanding that.

At Politico in 2020, Bertrand broke the news that “(m)ore than 50 former intelligence officials signed a letter casting doubt on the provenance of a New York Post story on the former vice president’s son.” It turned out, of course, that Hunter Biden’s laptop actually belonged to him, and there was no Russian disinformation, as Democrats claimed, which was helpfully amplified by Bertrand.

Now, in 2025, Bertrand rushed out this salacious report. Notably, the leak came after congressional committees on intelligence were briefed. Bertrand and then the New York Times, which subsequently reported the same news, failed to note that the American intelligence was considered low confidence. After all, Americans had not been on site at the bombing locations.

Meanwhile, in Israel, intelligence officials built their own review of the bombings. Israel has much better intelligence inside Iran. At one point, the head of the Iranian secret police division in charge of rooting out Israeli spies was actually an Israeli spy. Israeli intelligence has concluded that Iran’s military leadership is telling Iran’s political leadership the bombings only set them back a few months. But Iran’s military actually believes they have been set back years.

Reconciling the two reports, it seems likely the American intelligence community intercepted what Iran’s military told Iran’s politicians, but Israel knows what Iran’s military leadership really thinks and probably has spies on the ground too. Israel believes Iran’s uranium is buried beyond reach. Israel does not know that Fordow has completely collapsed underground, but does believe it is inaccessible. Israel also believes key parts of Iran’s equipment to process uranium have been destroyed. Israel has also eliminated the top scientists involved in Iran’s nuclear program.

When former President Joe Biden was in office, American reporters often treated reports about him skeptically. When someone from Congress or the intelligence community, which itself has a history of trying to undermine Donald Trump, leaks something negative about Donald Trump, the media pounces, seizes it, and does all the other adverbs and adjectives usually used in headlines to attack Republicans.

This was a brilliantly staged and executed operation by the Pentagon that the press attempted to discredit to attack Trump. We have been starved of competence for some time in government. But the Pentagon successfully got B2 bombers in the air while distracting everyone with additional B2 bombers, then dropped 14 bunker buster bombs — the first time they have ever been used — just two days after the president threw everyone off with his two-week timeline to assess the situation. Democrats, bureaucrats in the intelligence community and the press corps seemingly could not tolerate Donald Trump getting any political benefit from a successful bombing run.

In the end, the press further hurt its credibility by trying to undermine President Trump. Even Wile E. Coyote would be impressed by the own goal.

Erick Erickson is a blogger, radio talk-show host and national news contributor.

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