This map shows proposed Ohio Senate districts released by the Ohio Redistricting Commission this week.

New state legislative maps proposed by Republicans on the Ohio Redistricting Commission would result in changes to the boundaries of the House districts in Mahoning and Trumbull counties, making all but one noncompetitive based on past partisan statewide voting trends.

The boundaries of the House districts in Mahoning and Trumbull counties would change and provide benefits to three of the incumbents while keeping the fourth safe under the Republican proposal assuming they all win the primaries of their political parties.

State Rep. Lauren McNally of Youngstown, the Valley delegation’s only Democrat, would get a significantly stronger blue district.

McNally’s current district favors Democrats by about 3% and includes several rural communities in Mahoning as well as four townships in northwest Columbiana County.

Her new district would favor Democrats by more than 21% and include only Youngstown, Poland and Coitsville from her current district. She would add Austintown, Jackson, Milton, Lowellville, Craig Beach and Coitsville to a new district under the Republican proposal.

McNally’s district number would also change from 59 to 58.

State Rep. Al Cutrona, R-Canfield, would go from a district that was a toss-up to one that favors Republicans by more than 12%, according to partisan statewide voting trends during the past decade. He would switch district numbers with McNally, going from 58 to 59.

If reelected, Cutrona would continue to represent Boardman, Canfield, Berlin, Struthers and Campbell. The new district would add Beloit, Coitsville, Ellsworth, Sebring, New Middletown, North Lima, Smith, Goshen, Green, Beaver, Springfield and Washingtonville, along with Knox and Butler townships in Columbiana County.

Republicans drew a friendlier 64th House District for state Rep. Nick Santucci, R-Howland, but it favors Democrats by about 2.5%. That’s better than his current district, which favors Democrats by almost 10%.

Santucci won his first term last year by 1.8% over Democrat Vincent Peterson II.

The new district keep Warren, Howland, Niles and Weathersfield. It adds more rural and Republican communities including Bristol, Champion, Farmington, West Farmington, Leavittsburg, Newton, Newton Falls, Lordstown and all of Warren Township. The latter township now is split between the county’s two House districts.

The 65th House District, represented by Mike Loychik, R-Bazetta, became less Republican, but it is still considered a safe GOP district.

That district would pick up Girard, Liberty, Hubbard, McDonald and Vienna from Santucci’s current district. It would continue to represent large portions of rural Trumbull County and much of Ashtabula County.

The current 65th District favors Republicans by about 24%. That would drop to about 14.5% under the new proposed map based on voter trends.

Also, Monica Robb Blasdel, R-Columbiana, who represents the 79th House District, would keep a solid red area that includes all of Columbiana County but two townships and all of Carroll County. It favors Republicans by about 37%.

The Republican state Senate map doesn’t change the 33rd District. It would still include all of Mahoning, Columbiana and Carroll counties and favor Republicans by about 9.5%, according to statewide voting trends.

Incumbent Michael Rulli, R-Salem, is not up for reelection in 2024 and cannot seek another Senate term in 2026 because of the state’s term-limit law.

The proposed 32nd Senate District would be virtually the same as the existing one, including all of Trumbull and Ashtabula counties and a slightly larger section of Geauga County. It would be a safe Republican district, favoring that party by about 10.5%, according to voting trends. Incumbent state Sen. Sandra O’Brien, R-Lenox, is seeking reelection next year.

STATEWIDE

The commission’s Republican majority Wednesday adopted working maps that give the GOP a 62-37 advantage in the House and a 23-10 majority in the Senate.

The maps include eight Democratic and three Republican House seats, and two Democratic and three Republican Senate seats that would be considered toss-ups, said state Sen. Rob McColley, R-Napoleon and a commission member.

Toss-ups are proposed districts that show an advantage for one political party by no more than 2%, he said.

One of the constitutional requirements of adopting state legislative maps is to reflect voting trends in statewide partisan elections the last decade. That was 54-46 in favor of Republicans before the 2022 election. It increased to about 57-43 Republicans after that election.

Republicans currently have 67 House members to 32 for Democrats and 26 Senate members to seven for Democrats after a federal court allowed the state to use a set of maps ruled unconstitutional by the Ohio Supreme Court for gerrymandering. The court ruled the same way on four other sets of state legislative maps.

The existing maps were good only for the 2022 election.

If the commission’s Democrats disagree with the Republican maps — and they already object to the ones proposed — the new districts would be in place for just the 2024 election. If there is an agreement, the maps would be in place until the 2030 election.

“The supermajority Republicans showed their hand and made it clear to Ohio they’re not serious about drawing fair maps or upholding constitutional requirements,” said Ohio House Minority Leader Allison Russo, D-Upper Arlington and a commission member.

The seven-member commission, consisting of five Republicans and two Democrats, has three public hearings scheduled for today in Mount Sterling, Monday in Newbury and Tuesday in Columbus.

The commission is expected to vote on the final maps shortly after that.